Allied & ICAR Exam Bank • ALLIED_1451 MCQ • 1 Mark

Section 8: General Aptitude

Verbal Aptitude

Subtopic: Critical Reasoning

Question Statement:

Agronomist's reasoning: 'Last season, farmer X switched to a new organic seed treatment and harvested a record wheat yield. Therefore, the organic seed treatment caused the record yield.' What logical flaw is present in this reasoning?

Options:

  • (A) Post hoc ergo propter hoc (assuming that because one event followed another, it was caused by it)
  • (B) Circular reasoning (begging the question)
  • (C) Ad hominem attack on conventional agriculture
  • (D) False dilemma between two extremes

Answer Key:

A

Step-by-Step Solution & Explanation

Assuming causation purely from temporal sequence without controlling for weather or other variables is the post hoc fallacy.
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